CTS lunch seminar, Spetember 16 11,30-12,30
Anne Bastian will present “It's the economy, stupid:
Increasing fuel price is enough to explain Peak Car in Sweden”
Anne Bastian (CTS) and Maria Börjesson (CTS)
It has long been well-known that economic variables such as GDP and fuel price as well as socio-demographic characteristics and spatial distribution are key factors explaining car use trends. However, due to the recently observed plateau of total car travel in many high income countries, it has been argued that other factors, such as changes in preferences, attitudes and life-styles, have become more important drivers of car use. This would imply that traditional variables are no longer enough for explaining car travel trends. However, in this paper we show that economic variables alone can explain the observed car use trends in Sweden 2002-2012. We also find that urban populations, in particular those with low incomes, respond stronger to fuel price increases and economic downturn, i.e. are reducing car travel more. Among high income urban populations, however, we find signs of saturation in car ownership and distances driven. This underscores the importance of accounting for differences in accessibility with other travel modes and income distribution when explaining the Peak Car phenomenon.
Please confirm your attendance by September 12th. No response is required for decline.
Lunch is served from 11:20, September 16th 2014, CTS Teknikringen 10, room Wardrop/Nash
Christian Savemark, PhD student at CTS, email@example.com
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